Netflix's Capital Structure
All companies will have a capital
structure, each different from the next. A capital structure is the combination
of sources of capital that a company uses and the different costs, rewards and
risks associated with each source of capital. For example, debt finance has
lower levels of risk, therefore it is cheaper to obtain, whereas, equity
finance has higher levels of risk and therefore is more expensive due to high
returns being demanded by shareholders.
When it comes to the financing of a
company, the most common question will probably be; What is the optimal capital
structure? Though, it is very difficult for companies to decide what the
optimal capital structure is, due to a high number of differing opinions. One
way in which a company is able to find an optimal capital structure is through
the use of their Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), as during this
calculation it is clear to see that when a larger amount of debt finance is
used, a companies WACC will be lower due to it being cheaper than equity.
However, when it comes to increasing the level of gearing within a company,
there is a chance that the lenders will start to worry about the companies’
ability to make repayments, otherwise known as risk of ‘financial distress’.
One example of a company that has
done exactly this is streaming service Netflix, with their debt more than
tripling from $3.5bn at the end of 2014 to $11.97bn at the end of 2017. When it
comes to the use of debt finance Netflix likes to use bonds to fund their
investment into creating original content for their 137.1 million subscribers.
In October 2017 they chose to receive a 10.5-year bond of $1.6bn with a yield
of 4.785% following a higher than projected growth of subscribers. More
recently than this, in October 2018, Netflix made the decision to take out
another 10.5-year junk bond of $2 billion, issued in both dollars and euros,
with the U.S. share of the bond having a yield of 6.375% and the European share
having a yield of around 4.625%.
In other words, a ‘Junk Bond’ is a high-yield
bond, which in comparison to investment-grade bonds such as municipal bonds,
treasury bonds and corporate bonds, has a low credit rating and offers a larger
pay-out. The reasoning behind this is that they are considered to be riskier
due to a higher default risk (the likelihood of companies being incapable of
making their debt payments). Nevertheless, it is a possibility that Netflix
will be able to benefit from bond appreciation if the issuer of the bond is
able to improve their credit standing. However, although Netflix would be able
to benefit from this, there is the chance that if there is a sudden drop in the
bond issuers credit rating there will be an adverse effect on the value of said
bond.
In my opinion, even though the
choice to use more debt than equity does lower Netflix’s cost of capital, tripling
their debt and in turn tripling their risk through the use of this form of bond
leads to the question of; Is this a sustainable way of financing their company in
the long term? One major element that can come into this decision of whether or
not to use debt finance in the long term is, the future economic condition and
what will happen if it was to take a hit e.g. a financial crisis/recession. If
in the future if there was to be another financial crisis like the one in
2007-2008, Netflix may face difficulties in terms of their debt finance as most
junk bonds come with a much larger risk that they will end up being worthless
during financial crisis. Also, with Netflix being issued a higher debt load it
therefore means that as a result of this their interest expenses will become
higher, which then means that they will have to make improvements on their cash
flow in order to cover their higher expenses.
Overall, I think that due to the
year on year increase of Netflix subscribers, that in the current economic
conditions their current levels of debt aren’t something to be worried about,
however, constantly using high levels of debt to finance their growth may not
be as feasible in the future if there was to be a sudden drop in paying
customers, for example, if there was a financial crisis, consumers may be less
likely to have a subscription to Netflix as it is considered as a luxury and
not a necessity.
Some very interesting opinions about Netflix and capital structure. So if you had to make a recommendation for Netflix do you think you would tell them to use debt or equity financing next time they need cash?
ReplyDeleteDid you know much about this subject before this module, or do you feel like there's some interesting new things that you have come away from the lectures/ seminars with that you didn't know before?
If I had to make a recommendation for Netflix next time they were in need of cash, I would advise them to use debt financing again due the ability to lower cost of capital, on the grounds that they were able to pay off a large amount of their previous $2 million junk bond, this is because if they were to take out yet another junk bond with the knowledge that they were unable to pay it off then that when they would start to get into some severe financial troubles.
ReplyDeletePreviously before this module I was not very knowledgeable on debt or equity, however the lectures/ seminars allowed me to gain a better understanding on the basic concepts which then meant when it came to writing my blog post I had a better understanding, particularly on junk bonds.